Friday, March 30, 2012

Money to be Made
IN RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

Could have, should have, would have.... I think Warren Buffett was correct when he said now was the time to buy single family homes.

Fortunes are being made right now by forward thinkers that recognize now is the time to purchase that home or condo you have been thinking about. Besides the positive cash flow and future increased appreciation have you thought about how having an investment property will help you with your taxes? I am not a CPA, but if you are thinking of buying a home or investment property be sure to consult an expert in the area. I suspect in the coming years, I will be sitting at Karl Strauss Brewery in 4S Ranch and I will hear the moaning from people around me, "Could have, should have, would have...."

Exclusive 92127 Real Estate
TREND REPORT

In the report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code. There are two options: Condo Report or Single Family Report

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Will Chinese Church Project Have an Impact on Santa Fe Valley/4S Ranch?

PUBLIC HEARING: There is a community meeting this Thursday evening March 29 at the RSF Fire House 16930 Four Gee Road where County of San Diego elected officials will vote on approving a large church and school project in Santa Fe Valley. The development will be adjoining the gated communities of Bel Etage, Savannah and Salviatti. If you want a say in the future of the area and either support or prevent this proposed project, you should make the time to attend. Details on project: http://www.4ssfvmpac.org/

I remember in late 1999, Theresa, myself and our newborn son Troy, (who yes, Oak Valley girls, was in diapers) were sitting in the sales office at the Colrich home development at Bel Etage. At the time, I was the SDPD SWAT Commanding Officer. I had been up most of the night on a tactical operation and decided to take the next day off to visit the new home developments in an area called 4S Ranch and Santa Fe Valley.

With Troy on her lap, Theresa wrote a check for $5,000.00 to hold a Bel Etage home, which was under construction. When the saleswoman stepped out of the sales office, Theresa nervously looked at me and mouthed the words, "We don't have five thousand dollars". I whispered back, "Don't worry they won't cash it. It just holds it". We then hurried back to our Rancho Penasquitos home and put a, "for sale" sign in our front yard.

The following year we moved into our new Bel Etage home. We loved living in Santa Fe Valley and have sometimes reminisced that we never should have left. The three gated guarded communities, Bel Etage, Salviatti, and Savanneh are terrific homes with amazing floor plans on big lots. Always a winning combination.

I mention this background information because during that time, I walked every one of the developments on a weekly basis. I also made a trip to the County of San Diego where at ten cents a copy, I made a copy of every page of the County of San Diego Area Plan. I had it committed to memory. I even kept a copy of the plan in my desk drawer at home. I never recall reading anything about a planned large development across from the fire station. The plan was a promise. It was one of the reasons we bought the home. I guess, I mistakenly believed our elected officials and their plan.

Now, twelve years later, the County of San Diego wants to change our plan. The changes they are proposing will impact the community and the value of homes in the area. We are at the point where this, "new plan" or marriage, is about to happen. So as they say in church, "Speak up now or forever hold your peace". I suggest if you do not know the details, attend the meeting and voice your opinion, pro or con. It is all part of the democratic process.


Have a great week,

Friday, March 23, 2012

Exclusive 92127 Real Estate
TREND REPORT

We are almost sold out of homes!

The buyers are out and inventory is dropping. For the first time in a very long time, a Realtor who called me was so relieved when I told her that one of our homes was still available. "Thank goodness, I'll show it today". That's a good sign!

People are getting off the sidelines. Why rent a place when you can buy a home with only 3% down?

In the report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code. There are two options: Condo Report or Single Family Report.

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

The Rear View Mirror & Tactical Nukes


I remember when I was in vehicle operations training at the San Diego Police Academy. Our driving instructors repeatedly emphasized the importance of looking in our rear view mirror every few seconds, while driving a police car. You are always on the lookout for both vehicles as well as pedestrians approaching your vehicle. I agree with the concept and regularly employ the tactic. I also know there is about a twenty minute time period every school day; I just can't take my eyes off that rear view mirror.

I guess the rear view mirror is designed to see what is behind us. In that twenty minute window, all I see is the future. The future is bright and it is approaching so very quickly. I feel that way because each school morning our youngest son, Ryan looks at me through the rear view mirror as he sits in the rear seat of our car, (He is so disappointed he does not yet weigh enough to be promoted to the front seat). I love having him back there. His thoughtful and beautiful eyes peer at me as he asks me so many very important questions.

Theresa and I have several, "deals" with our children. One of them is we will always tell them the truth, regardless of the sensitivity of the question. It seemed like a smart idea when we started, but as our boys are getting older, I am amazed with the questions and subject matter we are already talking about. For goodness sake our oldest is only in seventh grade. Their questions frequently make me laugh. Other times they make me wonder.

Ryan's questions were pretty easy the beginning of this week. "Can people be allergic to people?" Good question. Of course it led to his next question, "Can kids be allergic to school?" In the mirror, I could see his wry, mischievous smile. That answer was easy. You can't blame the kid for trying.

Maybe due to all the talk about Iran pursuing nuclear weapons led to him asking the next question. It was a doozy, "How many atomic bombs would it take to blow up San Diego?" Like I said, some questions are not so easy to answer. My first thought was it was a sad question for him to ask. I did not know the answer until now.

I guess, I always want our kids to talk with us about anything. Things we would have never thought to ask our parents. So by luck, my brother John, living in Seattle happened to send me the following link this week, (Atomic Bomb Simulation) where you can put in your address or move the icon and then select the atomic bomb of your choice. You then push, "detonate". It shows the area of destruction, from the initial fireball to the outward radiation effects. I found it interesting, but after simulating a Russian atomic warhead, (50 megaton) exploding over 4S Ranch as well as several tactical nukes hitting Santaluz and Crosby Estates, I had second thoughts.

I recalled at the time Ryan asked me the, "Bomb question" I was driving. I told him, "I don't know". I told him the truth. I love helping a little boy or anyone else for that matter to find their way. Like some of Troy and Raymond's questions, I always do tell them the truth. The truth does not necessarily mean I provide all the details. And, I really don't know how many atomic bombs it takes to blow up San Diego. I'll consider that question closed for now. It reminds me of what San Diego County District Attorney prosecutors used to say in court when it was a repeat question from the Defense Attorney, "Your honor, asked and answered". The judge would then respond, "Sustained, rephrase your question counselor". Since Ryan does not have a defense attorney, (and never will, I hope) I will let that question sit.

If Ryan ever asks about how many tactical warheads it takes to blow up 92127. That I can answer! It just adds to my expertise in the area in case we have any nuclear scientists looking for homes in Santaluz, Crosby, Del Sur, or 4S Ranch. Who knows, it could be an ice breaker.

In the meantime, I will keep looking in that rear view mirror and treasure these questions and looking at Ryan's little face and hearing his voice transition from a little boy to a young person. Before I know it, he will be promoted to the front seat and will be complaining that his friends just may see him in a car with his parents pictures on the side. Oh, the difficulties of being a Realtor's son in 4S Ranch.


Have a great week!

Thursday, March 15, 2012

Exclusive 92127 Real Estate
TREND REPORT

 I'm Not Buying It!
I heard a home developer in Torrey Highlands say recently they are selling homes with two car garages because he believes Americans life styles are changing and two garage spaces will become more common and the future standard in building. I don't believe it. Our love affair with the automobile is not over, but even more importantly, Americans love "stuff". They need a place to put bicycles, and everything else.  
Secondly, having shown allot of homes to perspective buyers, they really do notice if there is only two garage parking spaces. Having a large amount of square footage and four or five bedrooms, but only two garage spaces, results in residents parking in the driveway or the street. That ultimately negatively impacts the neighborhood.  
Another thing about our great country is competition and the free market economy will determine who is correct. Who knows? I have been wrong before, but I would look closely at the issue before signing a mortgage for thirty years. You need to consider resale value. 
In the report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code. There are two options:Condo Report or Single Family Report

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Mystery Woman in 4S Ranch?


I always have, and I hope I always will, find something to laugh about every single day. It was no different when I was on SDPD.  As I sit here reflecting on the events involving the mystery woman, I laughed, yet again. I do not know her name or where she lives.  In fact, I am offering anyone who can identify her or if she comes forward, free AMC movie tickets for the entire family. Please help us find out who she is so we can put the closing paragraph on this week's story. 

About twenty five years on the streets of San Diego as a cop, I have had people approach me and tell me good things as well as bad things.  When the mystery woman hurriedly approached our Community Hub (TM) on Thursday morning, I could tell she had an urgent matter at hand.  I immediately sensed something was not right.  I could see the sense of trepidation in her eyes.  

The mystery woman was carrying a large white box in her hands as she ran up to the Hub.  It was a only few minutes before 0900 hours, (police talk) and the Postal Annex in 4S Village had not yet opened.   The woman quickly placed the box on our granite counter.  Slightly out of breath, she asked politely, but with just a tinge of desperation, "Would you please, act like you are the post office?"  Before I could stop and consider the consequences, I found myself saying, "sure".  She must have sensed my confusion, so she slowly began to open the white box.  

As the box was opening, I noticed she was trying to do so discreetly.  I could tell she was hiding her movement from someone behind her.  Glancing over her shoulder, I saw the second half of the equation.  I saw a small child, (likely her young son) peering out the rear open window of their vehicle.  While restrained in his car seat, he looked stressed and very interested in what his mom was doing.  When the box was fully opened, I could see the items of interest that were bringing the three of us together on this sunny morning in San Diego.  Today was the day!  It was a milestone for the mystery woman and her young child.  I felt very lucky and blessed to be a part of it...

Inside the box sitting rather lonely in the spacious accommodations was a small, clear zip lock bag.  As I looked closer, I saw it contained not just one, but about a dozen multi-colored pacifiers, or "Binkies". Wow! A variety of sizes.  A complete collection.  Solid gold to the little boy who was peering desperately around his mom to see what his mom was doing with all his treasures.  It made me think of our own boys and wonder what story his mom had used to justify the long planned separation. Were they being sent to Santa's Elves?  Or was it for kids that could not afford Binkies?  

In a flash of movement the mystery woman was running back to her car and pulling out of the parking lot.  Fast execution.  I like that.   The little boy's look was priceless.  He was tightly strapped in his car seat with a forlorn look on his face.  Probably the way I look at Theresa after a Chargers loss or a friend uses another Realtor.  As the mystery woman quickly drove off, I yelled to the child who's window was down, "the postal worker will make sure your Binkies, get to those kids!"  He wasn't smiling.  He rotated his head and stared at me as his mom accelerated away.  Life is just not fair.

I then looked again at the large white box and saw there was actually a name and address written on it.  Now what do I do?  I could not see just throwing them out.  I walked over to talk with Jennifer Harper, who is the owner of Postal Annex.  After much laughter, she confirmed it was only two dollars to mail the Binkies to the name and Oregon address on the box.  We both figured, "what the heck". We split it.  I tossed Jennifer a dollar and the Binkies are now in the mail.

I then wondered if the mystery women really wanted them to be mailed or intended to throw them out in Postal Annex.   If anyone speaks to our mystery women, please let us know. We would love to hear her side of the story and if we really should have mailed the pacifiers. Maybe I sent them to an old boss that was a, "cry baby".  I just don't know. Myself, and our whole team of employees are really curious to find out.

Mystery woman please call us or email us at editor@trustshay.com We would love to hear your precious story in your own words.   We will run it next week.

We hope you have a week filled with laughter!

Tuesday, March 6, 2012

Long Ball Hitters

Long Ball Hitters

I do not recall the first time I ever heard the term, "long ball hitter". I know for a fact the person who told me those words for the very first time was former San Diego Police Homicide Lieutenant, Jim Duncan. The ultimate, long ball hitter.
I remember when I first met Jim. At the time, none of us would have ever dared to call him, "Jim". Only terms acceptable were, "Sarge" or "Sergeant Duncan". Jim never said we had to call him, "Sarge" but as a rookie cop in Southeast San Diego in 1983, you felt like you were in an urban conflict. Using the term "sarge" was effective in an environment where decisions needed to be made quickly and orders followed promptly.

If anyone had ever suggested Sgt. Duncan and I would become close, lifetime friends, I would have said the person saying such a thing must be smoking, "sherm" (slang for PCP) and was obviously, UTI (under the influence) of the animal tranquilizer commonly referred to as, "angel dust". Sgt. Duncan had such a professional, no-nonsense demeanor, I never thought we would ever become so close. I was wrong, yet again.

It was a cold late night when I first met Sergeant Duncan and experienced his level of intensity at a critical incident. I was wearing my new police jacket that my mom and dad had sent me from Albuquerque, New Mexico. It was not the soft leathery police jacket I grew to treasure, later in my career. It was a nylon insulated, "chill chaser". In fact, everything I was wearing was brand new. I was fresh out of the police academy and my leather gun belt, handcuff case, and speed loaders all creaked when I moved as well as my black leather boots. I was all shiny and new, like a copper penny. I might have been shiny, but since I was new on the force, I didn't know jack. And I am not referring to the famous foam antenna mascot from a local San Diego fast food restaurant chain.

I am not sure if I was standing in the middle of the street or on the sidewalk when Sgt. Duncan approached me. I'm sure I looked like a frightened deer in the headlights of a car. Jim's first words were very clear and direct, "Officer, find your FTO, (Field Training Officer) - NOW and stay with him". All I knew was I had just arrived at my first, (soon to be countless) drive by shooting crime scenes. It was pandemonium and human chaos all tied together. If you have never been a cop to arrive at one of those type of shootings, you have missed out on a challenging experience.

Forget all the visual images. The sound alone puts you on sensory overload rather quickly. Arriving police units with overhead rotating red lights, shutting down their sirens as they park blocking the street. Grabbing their batons from the sleeve in the patrol car door they run to the victims. People screaming, street gang members yelling about the injustice they have experienced, the sound of brass shell casings being kicked across the concrete while police officers struggle to contain the crime scene, triaging victims, and trying to get clearance for paramedics to roll in as soon as humanely possible. That is, if any of the victims are still alive.

Most civilians do not realize that with any ongoing violent critical incident paramedics and fire fighters, "black out" their emergency lights and sirens and park their precious life saving equipment a block or two away from the shooting scene. They then wait for us to give clearance for them to respond to the actual scene.

At first glance that does not seem fair that we are delaying emergency medical treatment to people who have been shot. While in fact, it is very fair and necessary. Fire fighters turnout gear are good at stopping hot embers from burning their skin, but they would not even slow down a 158 grain, 9mm hollow point bullet traveling at around 3000 feet per second or even a small, 22 caliber round which has a nasty reputation for bouncing around the inside of your body. Firefighters also do not have all the necessary tools police have to gain control of a human problem that is spiraling out of control.

I would like to think that a fire is more predictable then people, but I really do not know that to be true. We jokingly referred to firefighters as, "hose draggers" but you wouldn't find me or most any cop interested in running into a house on fire. Firefighters are crazily brave. I don't know if "crazily" is a real word or not, but my hats off to all of them. They are amazing, when the chips are down.

The other thing about a drive-by gang shooting is how fast the word spreads in the communities. There were no twitter accounts or cell phones back then, especially in the communities I worked. The word of a "drive-by" or basically the shooting of a neighborhood kid or kids spread faster then a post on Facebook. As you are trying to tend to the victims, establish a perimeter on the crime scene to preserve evidence, every cop knows the clock is ticking. The clock for retaliation that quickly turns the shooting victim gangs rival turf into a ghost town, at least for a couple of nights.

The other clock ticking is how soon before family members of the victims arrive at the scene. The clock is ticking and there is so much to do. Usually a younger brother will arrive first with the frantic mother in tow. She will spill out of a car that screeches to a stop or she will run up on foot out of breath with fear in her eyes. If the yellow crime scene tape is up you will usually see the mother or father who recognizes their child in the street start pleading frantically something like, "Those are his shoes. That's my son. He was wearing that shirt when he left... They know it is probably their son but they then will plead desperately for us to tell them it isn't.

Sometimes they collapse right there on the sidewalk, while other times they will dip their shoulders and try to push their way into the crime scene. You know your in trouble when one of their hands grab the crime scene tape and try to raise it up so they can rush under it. I know they are desperately hoping they could breath life into their child who sometimes was simply at the wrong place, at the wrong time.

The situation is difficult enough, but if anyone contaminates your crime scene you can loose evidence of who the killers are. A defense attorney can then grill you months, or even years later and embarrass you on the witness stand in order to get the child's killers off on a technicality. You have to preserve the crime scene. When I signed up to be a cop, I never thought I would be struggling to restrain a grieving parent in a dirt alley where gang graffiti on the fences are illuminated by rotating emergency lights. It's probably a good thing I didn't have my own kids then. I now realize the tragic enormity of the parent's loss.

I am sure it is not true, but as a parent I like to think there is not a force on this earth that could ever stop me from getting to one of my sons who was lying, on a cold, dark street. I now know why they sometimes struggled so hard. So as the police radio crackled for more units needed at the scene to hold the line, officers and yes even Sergeant Duncan would take a stand to always do the right thing.

It was in that environment, year after year, I got to know so many, long ball hitters. I think the relationship cops have with each other are similar to other high risk professions like the military or other emergency services.

As Jim demonstrated and explained over the years, a long ball hitter is the type of person with a solid moral compass that always points true. The type of person that steps up to the plate in life and takes his cuts. He may strike out or he may make contact. He simply does his best. There will be adversity. There will be good and bad times. Let your handshake be your contract. Look people in the eye. Stand up to injustices. Depth of your own personal character is the most important thing you have in life.

As Jim demonstrated years later, even if your buddy spills his full beer into the casino chips in Vegas and the dealer and pit boss are giving you both the stink eye, just pat your buddy on the back and say, " Hey don't worry about it, deal em". And always, always, watch out for your partner.

Sorry, I went so long today. Theresa and I know our three boys, Troy, Raymond, and Ryan are still young kids and they don't even play baseball. I am still hopeful we are doing everything possible to make sure they will grow up to be true, Long Ball Hitters. I know Jim and Jeanne Duncan (shown in the above picture) would love that!

Have a great and safe week!

Friday, March 2, 2012

Exclusive 92127 Real Estate
TREND REPORT

As I mentioned in the last few weeks, there has been a surge in buyers purchasing homes. The numbers reported by the National Association of Realtors yesterday conform what we were seeing locally, was also occurring nationwide. January of 2012 had the largest number of homes sold in the last two years.

It will be interesting if this pattern holds. My gut feeling is that it will, unless gas prices continue to increase or something occurs internationally that results in a loss of confidence in the residential real estate market. The interesting aspect of what is occurring is that most people tend to have a mob mentality. If people are starting to put there swimsuits on to dive back into the residential real estate market others are likely to follow. If you look further down the road prices will then ultimately start to climb. The question is how far down the road will prices be stabilized and then increase?

In the report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code. There are two options: {condo report} or {single family report}