Friday, June 29, 2012

This Week in Market Trends

Market Update

The local housing market is hot! Demand for homes is outpacing supply.  As an example, we listed a home last week in Carmel Mountain.  Within forty-eight hours we had about fifteen showings and several strong offers.  This Is just part of the pattern that started in January.

The situation in Temecula is even worse.  Some homes are getting in
excess of twenty five offers.  It is a combination of the mood of
buyers to purchase is very strong, low interest rate, and  investors
who are snapping up properties that will positive cash flow.

If your thinking of buying, selling, or investing in income property
please give us a call.  The increase demand and shortage of homes
across San Diego County will eventually push up the price.



Trend Reports
  
In the attached report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code.   Condo Report and  Single Family Report

Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Bonus Time
Written by Ray Shay

Almost every day, I seem to notice milestones in life that in my earlier years, I would not have given much thought too.  I really make an effort to be a witness to the, "little things" that we all see each day. Ryan our last son, is barely eight years old and we have been waiting almost hourly for the, "other shoe to drop".  Ok, it's not a shoe.  It is actually his second upper front tooth. The first one fell out a few days ago.  I know we did not wait with such anticipation for our other son's, (Troy and Raymond's) front teeth to drop.  Why? It is because we were immersed in the whirlwind of life with three young boys.  


It is not as much that I have more time to notice this year than last.  It is honestly because I feel I am on, "Bonus Time".  Did you ever play Space Invaders, Asteroid or even Pac Man?  When you get lucky or do well you might get an extra space ship or another little colored eating icon.  As I think of it, Theresa usually crushes me in Pac Man, even when I get white knuckled as I focus closely and try and play it correctly in hopes of surviving.  In hopes of getting another icon and the opportunity for even more bonus time!  The cycle continues.

I think people sometimes recognize when they are on, "Bonus Time" and look at life a bit differently.  Regardless of the weather, my work schedule or where I am when I awake in the morning, I honestly get a small smile. I feel like I have beaten the odds again!   As long as I know where I am, the approximate date and I am breathing, it's a win! 

I could be wrong, but I think people in general appreciate life as well as, "Bonus Time" more if they have had more life experiences. Those experiences can be either good or bad.  Surviving cancer? Survived loosing a loved one to a terrible disease like ALS?  Faced challenges that made your heart weary?  Cared for a severely handicapped child?   Tasted the adventure of traveling around the world?  The things in life that test us, test our limits, help us appreciate life more.

I can't say it was one event that changed my perspective.  I think it is the collection. A tapestry of good and bad. Seeing our children born was incredibly positive.  Facing an armed robber with a sawed off shotgun was a negative.  In a way it is kind of funny. The same tragic event that was so negative turned into a positive when my officers and I walked away from it.  It makes a person appreciate still being here.   Sitting in Theresa's mom's kitchen on those New Jersey winter evenings are some of the fondest memories of my life.  Carrying her when she could no longer walk due to, "Lou Gehrig's Disease"  was some of my worst.


The good and bad of life.  I'll probably mess up the saying, but the ying and yang of life.  Everyone reading this have had both.   What do you do with it?  Speed through life in a hardened metal transport vehicle and ignore what you have endured?  I think, "No" but what the heck do I know anyway?  I drive a car with our pictures on the side of it.   

Live on the edge a little.  Treasure moments in your day and the people around you.  Maybe share a smile or a tear.  I don't know the answer. Maybe pursue your own answer.  In the meantime, I"ll keep looking at Ryan's second upper tooth and treasure each minute it is still hanging in there.  After all in "Bonus Time", you never know when your spaceship might get hit by an asteroid.  

 

Have a great week!

Ray and Theresa Shay

Ray & Theresa Shay 

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Friday, June 22, 2012

This Week in Market Trends

Local home inventory continues to be tight.   We had a high number of  persons inquiring about steps to short sale their home and the pros and cons of a "strategic short sale". There is a large number of things consider before selecting a course of action.  Starting in a two weeks we will be offering educational classes in our Community Hub (TM) at 4S Commons. If you need answers sooner don't hesitate to gives a call.

Trend Reports  
In the attached report, prepared exclusively for Shay Realtors, you'll find easy-to-read graphs with statistics, and valuable information broken down into bite-size pieces about current market trends specifically for our zip code.   Condo Report and Single Family Report.

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Morgan
Written by Ray Shay


Being father's day yesterday, I could not help but think of, "Morgan". Due to privacy and security reasons, I will not share his last name or the last name of his uncle, "Albert". I would be surprised to hear Morgan is still alive.

There are countless homes in San Diego and elsewhere that Father's Day was not a priority and it was not celebrated. In both poor and rich communities we frequently saw children of some fathers who were in desperate situations. Police officers do not talk about it much, but I think most of us felt if we could just move those children to a better environment, we could actually save them.;
If only there was a special bus we could call when we found a child who was abused, uncared for, or simply unimportant. We could just, "load em up". The children would get hot showers, a square meal, and clean, warm clothes. I love the thought of kids pulling on thick, clean cotton sweatshirts over their freshly washed hair. No more nasty, painful bugs or days old layers of dirt. The kids would be safe. They could start to smile again. The bus would then accelerate out of the area leaving behind a gritty cloud of poverty and lack of parental leadership, falling like unwanted dust onto those old, empty sidewalks. 

My path to meeting Morgan was as strange as it gets.  My patrol beat partner was Joel Bryden.  Joel was ultimately promoted to Assistant Chief of San Diego Police Department.   He is currently the Chief of Walnut Creek Police Department.   Don't tell anyone, but before Joel had all that brass hanging off his uniform, he was a pretty good street cop.  In private conversations among police officers being a, "good street cop" is held in higher esteem than formal signs of rank including stripes, bars, or even stars on your uniform.  Being a cop first was at the core of a person.

Joel would usually drive and I would be the passenger officer.  Joel wrote great reports and I hate to admit it, he was a better driver.   I pushed the limits of the equipment and environment too far.  Not necessarily a good combination.   We also joked frequently about who was faster.  I know in a strange way, I enjoyed foot pursuits.  I think like most police officers, we were both adrenaline junkies.  Looking back, some of those foot chases and other events, could have easily ended in tragedy. 

So many years ago on that warm summer night in Logan Heights, I was driving our marked police unit when our vehicle headlights washed over two parolees carrying a television down a dirt alley near 2900 Imperial Ave.  Being about two in the morning, even a rookie cop would have recognized something was amiss.

We saw the bottom of their shoes as the television hit the ground and they took off running.   I remember braking hard and we were both in foot pursuit as the police radio crackled our emergency call for assistance.   As I recall, I got my, "rabbit" but Joel ended up empty handed.  Not that I teased him, just one, two, three or more times....

We ultimately found where they had stolen the television.  When we knocked on the door on the duplex, the next door neighbor pulled back the drapes and looked out.  It was none other than the second parolee who had escaped from the alley.  We promptly arrested him as Albert opened the door to his adjoining home.

.........FOR THE REST OF THE STORY CLICK HERE

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Public Hearings Set to Review Artificial Turf Proposal for 4S Ranch Community Park


The initial landscaper proposed improvements for 4S Ranch Community Park was released at the County CSA Board Meeting on Wednesday night.  The plan is to install artificial turf on the entire north side of the park.

This project is expected to be completed prior to 2013.  If you have any interest in this project be sure to attend one or both of the following meetings.  The County is seeking  community input on the design to include proposed field orientations, shape and color.
  
The two meetings will be held at the Boys and Girls Club starting at 6:30 PM on the following dates: Wednesday, June 27, 2012 and  Wednesday July 11, 2012

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Op Sec and the Cheese Flop
Written by Ray Shay


Most military and law enforcement officers are aware of the term, "Op Sec". If the person worked as a member of an elite unit such as SWAT, a counter terrorism unit, or an undercover unit investigating drug cartels, organized crime or street gangs, the concept of, "Op Sec" would have been pounded into you.  

It is a terrible feeling leaving a jump off point like an undercover van and moving towards the front door of a fortified house thinking, "Do they know we're coming"? The first indication you would likely see if there had been a failure of, "Op Sec" would be muzzle flashes from the corner of one of the front windows or the side yard.  By then, the rounds being fired at you may have already done their prescribed damage resulting in you or a team member never even reaching the entry point.

"Op Sec" is an abbreviation for the term, "Operational Security". Early in my SWAT career, I frequently had no idea about the who, what, where, when, and why, number of adversaries, their weapons, or crime history profile until I arrived at the mission briefing.  A meeting frequently held at about 4 AM in a secure facility, on the morning of the operation.  By limiting the number of people with prior knowledge of the mission helped to keep the upcoming party, a surprise.  More complicated missions with multiple targets frequently required weeks of preparation. If you were in the public or outside a secure briefing, you had to keep your mouth shut about any aspect of the pending mission.  No joking, no kidding, no ....

When I looked down at the cheese flop, I knew my past experiences and "Op Sec" procedures would need to be, "dusted off" and put to work.  The cheese flop actually began when the cheese teetered for about three quarters of a second on the edge of my hand as I moved it from the outdoor counter to the awaiting burger on our old gas grill. The grill I get so frustrated with because it burns unevenly.  I noticed the thin slice of cheese seemed to hesitate in mid-air before racing to the ground as it felt the full effects of gravity.  When it hit the exposed aggregate concrete in front of our barbecue, it made a unique, "plop" sound.  It was not the first time that ever happened.  In fact, it has happened pretty regularly.  

As the cheese flop laid quietly on mother earth, I was shocked. I just starred at it. Nothing happened.  It did not disappear.  I remember thinking that had never happened before.  As I continued staring at the cheese, I began to smell the burning burgers on the grill. Well, at least part of the burgers. I think I audibly sighed as I realized yet once again, that both of our treasured golden retrievers were really gone.

Even while growing up as a kid, my dad would sometimes drop little pieces of food off the grill by, "accident". Over all those years and even when Theresa and I began living in San Diego, a cheese flop was always followed by a few quick moves of our golden retrievers who would eat the cheese.  Their tails would wag like crazy, as they smiled at me hoping I would have another, "accident". I would usually comment on what a fabulous chef I was. Daisy and Rosie always agreed with me. Very kind dogs that would never hurt anyone.  One just a puppy and the other about five years old.  As I slowly reached down and picked up the cheese, I realized again how much our entire family missed them.
The road of life is full of twists and curves.  Sometimes when you find yourself in a curve it is better to accelerate than slow down.  Our most recent curve involved our golden retrievers.  About four months ago, we gave both of our dogs to a great family in northern California. "Ali", The nine year old, granddaughter of Jeannie, our office manager, had prayed consistently for over three years for a white golden retriever.  Her prayers and that of her amazing family were finally answered.  The night I gave Daisy and Rosey to them, I knew we would have to get a replacement. 

I tried my own discreet way to get a miniature, Goldendoodle. I still don't know if golden doodle should be one or two words.  Searching for a new dog is so complicated.  I have honestly never been a fan of small dogs, but I knew our kids needed to grow up around at least one dog. I figured I would take one for the team.  After all, our boys had lost some spring in their steps since Daisy and Rosie were relocated.

About a month ago under very tight, "Op Sec" procedures,  I started the search for our new dog.  I swore close friends to secrecy, and began making discreet late night phone calls.  I searched the internet and even put the Community Hub Mole on it to check with his operatives.  I was going to surprise the family on our wedding anniversary and Ryan's, eighth birthday.  A month later and I had not gotten far.  My secret mission was falling apart.  In fact, I slipped up.  Theresa saw I had left on the I-Pad, "history" the search term, "goldendoodles".  A mistake like that on the SWAT team would have resulted in me feeling pretty foolish. 

I was running out of time with Ryan's birthday only a week away.  Under intense smiles and excitement of Theresa, I cracked.  I confessed about my secret plan.   She immediately took over as Mission Leader.  Over the next three days I kept whispering to her, "Op Sec" when she would stumble and say something out loud or leave her emails to breeders or Internet searches open for the kids to find.

Ultimately, Theresa's "Op Sec" was not very good at all and the overall mission was not tactically, "tight".  I kept biting my tongue because I wanted it to be perfect.  I kept thinking tactical operations always have to be a surprise.   Our three boys, Troy, Raymond, and Ryan soon developed an inkling their dog drought would soon end.

It was early in the evening when we brought them into the living room and said,  "we want you to meet one of our new clients".  We pointed to a covered laundry basket in the middle of the room.  Raymond was the first to shout out before the blanket was removed, "it's a puppy".  It was certainly not a round being fired from a fortified structure, but it went right through both our hearts anyway.  Just the way he said it.  Their astonished looks, smiles, yelling, and emphatic hugs of "Joey" or "Joe" for short was priceless.  Time slowed slowed down as we watched them celebrate.

Later in the day, I commended Theresa on what a terrific Mission Leader she was.  Objective was achieved, no injuries and all team members were home safe with their families.   That' is after all why we signed up.


Have a great week!



Friday, June 8, 2012

The Mole Report
The Big Race is ON!








The 92127 Mole has always been consistent on his reports. We recently became concerned when we had not heard from him in a while.  I learned from another source there is a new Nordstrom' Rack Department Store going in near the In and Out Burger Restaurant in Carmel Mountain. The mole's only response was, "C'mon, boss, that's 92128".  He sounded like a mob guy the way he said it.
I then pressed him about the big race occurring in 92127. I asked him, "Will it be ice cream or beer first?" He pushed down his gold colored Oakley sunglasses on his long angular nose and looked over them to see me eye to eye. "So you knows about that". I told Mole, "drop the Jersey Shtick...... You are from La Mesa".  Mole tried to explain it is all part of his cover.
Two new local businesses are going into 4S Ranch Commons. Karl Strauss Brewery is moving into the old "Chili's" and 31Flavors Ice Cream Shop is moving in two doors down from our new Community Hub (TM).
It is causing a bit of drama in our house. Our kids love ice cream but I'm pulling for Karl Strauss. Something about outdoor patio, cold beer and live sports. Special shout out to Jim Baker of Baker booths. He built Strauss' restaurant booths as well as ours.  He is the best! If you need custom restaurant booths give Jim a call at 619 284-6094.  Tell him we sent you!
We'll keep the 92127 Mole on it. He has been told to get some photos from inside both the Strauss and 31 Flavors. Send us an email which one you would like to see open first and why. In the meantime the Mole's closing words were, "You knows, I saw Dave Allen, Rick King and Ed Whitty already trying to reserve one of Baker's booths. They said they wanted one close to the beer tap. Just a little more info for ya boss....". I think the Mole is just trying to keep his job.